More Than 60% of Industrial Enterprises Believe the Average Price of Iron Ore Index Will Rise in July
Jun 26, 2024
Conclusion: In a survey of industrial enterprises regarding the July price index, 64% believe that the average price for July will rise compared to June's average of $106 (as of June 21st), while 35% expect a decrease, and only 1% think it will remain relatively stable.
Price Trend: 56% of companies anticipate a price trend that will start low and end high in July, whereas 44% predict the opposite.
Trading Company Mindset: 52% of trading companies will focus on selling, 26% will wait and see, 16% are preparing to stock up at the right moment, and only 6% are optimistic about the later stages and choose to hold and sell at a higher price.
Third Quarter Prices: Most companies believe that the 62% Australian fines index will operate within the range of $100-$120 per dry ton in the third quarter, with 71% of companies expecting the price fluctuation to be between $10-$20 per dry ton.
Mysteel Iron Ore 62% Australian fines index fluctuated weakly in June, showing a trend of being higher at the beginning and lower at the end, consistent with our last month's survey results.
According to the survey data, 73% of companies predict that the price for July will be within the range of $105-$115 (including both $105 and $115), 19% predict below $105, and only 8% predict above $115.
Companies that believe the price will first be low and then high mainly base their view on the completion of macroeconomic benefits in the first half of the year and a return to the basic situation, coupled with recent production restrictions leading to a noticeable decline in iron ore prices. Some companies believe that important meetings in July may have positive expectations, which will support the prices.
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Disclaimer: The information provided by Mysteel is for reference only and does not influence any decisions made by clients.
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